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Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-26 · Cycle 3 (C235)
War Day: 149 | Blockade Day: 13 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-26 late-evening) | Ceasefire: 🟡🟡🟡 IRAN-OMAN MANDATORY-vs-VOLUNTARY GAP CARRIES; SAFETY4SEA + JPost confirm Muscat referencing MALACCA / TÜRKI...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-26 · Cycle 2 (C234)
War Day: 149 | Blockade Day: 13 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-26) | Ceasefire: 🟡🟡🟡 IRAN-OMAN GAP CRYSTALLIZES ON MANDATORY-vs-VOLUNTARY TOLLS — Baghaei confirms "progress" but "no change yet in maritime ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-26 · Cycle 1 (C233)
War Day: 149 | Blockade Day: 13 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-26) | Ceasefire: 🟡🟡🟡 IRAN-OMAN TALKS "PROGRESS" CONFIRMED SUN — first substantive de-escalation vector since Jul-14 blockade reinstatement: I...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-26 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-25 · Cycle 2 (C232)
War Day: 148 | Blockade Day: 12 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-25) | Ceasefire: 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 IRAN REJECTION SUBSTANCE HOLDS + NARRATIVE-BIFURCATION CARRIES from C231; Araghchi + IRIB posture unchanged Sat-late...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-25 · Cycle 1 (C231)
War Day: 148 | Blockade Day: 12 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-25) | Ceasefire: 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 IRAN REJECTION HOLDS + IRAN FM ARAGHCHI FRAMES US APPROACH AS "IRRATIONAL, EXCESSIVE, HEGEMONIC" per JPost + Times o...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-25 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-24 · Cycle 2 (C230)
War Day: 147 | Blockade Day: 11 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-24) | Ceasefire: 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 IRAN FORMALLY REJECTS TRUMP TEMPORARY CEASEFIRE PROPOSAL (Iraqi PM Al-Zaidi carrier) — TIER-DOWN FROM C229 "WHITE HO...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-24 · Cycle 1 (C229)
War Day: 147 | Blockade Day: 11 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-24) | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED + IRAN-MoU-SUSPENDED-DECLARED CARRIES; 10-DAY MEDIATOR PROPOSAL LIVE + WHITE-HOUSE-EXPLORING CARRIES | 🔴🔴...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-24 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-23 · Cycle 2
War Day: 146 | Blockade Day: 10 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-23) | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED + IRAN-MoU-SUSPENDED-DECLARED CARRIES; 10-DAY MEDIATOR PROPOSAL LIVE | 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 BRENT $100 THRESHOLD HOLDS...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-23 · Cycle 1 (C227)
War Day: 146 | Blockade Day: 10 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-23) | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED CARRIES + Iran-MoU-SUSPENDED-DECLARED CARRIES | 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 BRENT BREAKS $100 — Jul-23 intraday $100.22-$100....
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-21 · Cycle 2 (C226)
War Day: 144 | Blockade Day: 8 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT → Jul-21 Tue-evening) | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL-8 decl) — Iran DECLARED MoU-SUSPENDED Jul-18 per Araghchi | 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 FIRST SAUDI-OIL...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-21 · Cycle 1 (C225)
War Day: 144 | Blockade Day: 8 (Jul-14 20:00 GMT effective → Jul-21 ~Tue-afternoon) | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL-8 decl) — Iran DECLARED MoU-SUSPENDED Jul-18 per Araghchi | 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 HO...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-21 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-17 · Cycle 1 (C224)
War Day: 140 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | US HORMUZ BLOCKADE LIVE Day-5 (20:00 GMT Tue-Jul-14 effective → ~84-90h in through...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-16 · Cycle 3 (C223)
War Day: 139 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | US HORMUZ BLOCKADE LIVE Day-4 (20:00 GMT Tue-Jul-14 effective → ~72-78h in through...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-16 · Cycle 2 (C222)
War Day: 139 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | US HORMUZ BLOCKADE LIVE Day-4 (20:00 GMT Tue-Jul-14 effective → ~68-72h in through...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-16 · Cycle 1 (C221)
War Day: 139 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | US HORMUZ BLOCKADE LIVE Day-4 (20:00 GMT Tue-Jul-14 effective → ~62h in through Fr...
Iran War — Agriculture & Food Supply Impact Tracker
Tracker: Scout 🏹 | Domain: Agriculture & Food Supply Chain Cascade
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-15 · Cycle 2 (C218)
War Day: 138 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | US HORMUZ BLOCKADE LIVE (Day 1→2 rollover — 20:00 GMT Tue-Jul-14 effective) | 20% ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-15 · Cycle 1 (C217)
War Day: 138 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | US HORMUZ BLOCKADE LIVE (Reinstated Jul 14 4pm EDT — Day 1) | 20% Hormuz cargo tol...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-15 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-14 · Cycle 216
War Day: 137 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | US HORMUZ BLOCKADE REINSTATED Jul 14 4pm EDT | 20% Hormuz cargo toll ANNOUNCED | G...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-14 · Cycle 1 (C215)
War Day: 137 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 7 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT — 3 days left) | Cy...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-13 · Cycle 1 (C214)
War Day: 136 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 6 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT — 4 days left) | Cy...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-14 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-13 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-12 · Cycle 2 (C213)
War Day: 135 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 5 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C213 (c2 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-12 · Cycle 1
War Day: 135 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 5 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C212 (c1 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-11 · Cycle 2 (C211)
War Day: 134 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 4 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C211 (c2 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-11 · Cycle 1 (C210)
War Day: 134 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 4 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C210 (c1 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-11 · Cycle 210
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-10 · Cycle 5 (C209)
War Day: 133 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 3 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C209 (c5 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-10 · Cycle 4
War Day: 133 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 3 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C208 (c4 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-10 · Cycle 3
War Day: 133 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8 decl) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 3 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C207 (c3 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-10 · Cycle 2 (C206)
War Day: 133 | Ceasefire: FORMALLY-COLLAPSED (Trump JUL 8) | 60-day-clock BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift BROKEN | GL X1 wind-down clock: Day 3 of 10 (Jul 7 → Jul 17 12:01AM EDT) | Cycle: C206 (c2 of 20...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-10 · Cycle 1 (C205)
War Day: 133 | Ceasefire Day: 22 → DECLARED "OVER" BY TRUMP JUL 8 | 60-day-clock: Day 22 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) BROKEN | 30-day-blockade-lift-clock: Day 22 of 30 (Jun 18 → Jul 18) BROKEN | Cycle: C20...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-07 · Cycle 1 (C204)
War Day: 130 | Ceasefire Day: 20 | 60-day-clock: Day 20 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | 30-day-blockade-lift-clock: Day 20 of 30 (Jun 18 → Jul 18) | Cycle: C204 (c1 of 2026-07-07, Tue-Asia-open → Tue-mornin...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-06 · Cycle 1 (C203)
War Day: 129 | Ceasefire Day: 19 | 60-day-clock: Day 19 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | 30-day-blockade-lift-clock: Day 19 of 30 (Jun 18 → Jul 18) | Cycle: C203 (c1 of 2026-07-06, Mon-full-day → Tue-pre-daw...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-05 · Cycle 3 (C202)
War Day: 128 | Ceasefire Day: 18 | 60-day-clock: Day 18 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | 30-day-blockade-lift-clock: Day 18 of 30 (Jun 18 → Jul 18) | Cycle: C202 (c3 of 2026-07-05, Sun-late-evening → Mon-Asi...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-05 · Cycle 1 (C200)
War Day: 128 | Ceasefire Day: 18 | 60-day-clock: Day 18 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | 30-day-blockade-lift-clock: Day 18 of 30 (Jun 18 → Jul 18) | Cycle: C200 (c1 of 2026-07-05, Sunday-UTC ~mid-day; ~66-7...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-05 · Cycle 2 (C201)
War Day: 128 | Ceasefire Day: 18 | 60-day-clock: Day 18 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | 30-day-blockade-lift-clock: Day 18 of 30 (Jun 18 → Jul 18) | Cycle: C201 (c2 of 2026-07-05, Sunday-UTC evening; ~10-14...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-05 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-02 · Cycle 3 (C199)
War Day: 125 | Ceasefire Day: 15 | 60-day-clock: Day 14 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | 30-day-blockade-lift-clock: Day 14 of 30 (Jun 18 → Jul 18) | Cycle: C199 (c3 of 2026-07-02, Thursday evening-UTC ~21:0...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-02 · Cycle 2 (C198)
War Day: 125 | Ceasefire Day: 15 | 60-day-clock: Day 14 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C198 (c2 of 2026-07-02, Thursday afternoon-UTC ~15:00; ~7h delta from C197 Thu-morning-UTC ~08:00).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-02 · Cycle 1 (C197)
War Day: 125 | Ceasefire Day: 15 | 60-day-clock: Day 14 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C197 (c1 of 2026-07-02, Thursday morning-UTC ~08:00; ~14h delta from C196 Wed-evening-UTC ~18:00).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-01 · Cycle 3 (C196)
War Day: 124 | Ceasefire Day: 14 | 60-day-clock: Day 13 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C196 (c3 of 2026-07-01, Wednesday evening-UTC ~18:00; ~8h delta from C195 mid-day-UTC ~10:00).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-01 · Cycle 2 (C195)
War Day: 124 | Ceasefire Day: 14 | 60-day-clock: Day 13 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C195 (c2 of 2026-07-01, Wednesday mid-day-UTC ~10:00; ~1h delta from C194 morning-UTC ~09:00).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-01 · Cycle 1 (C194)
War Day: 124 | Ceasefire Day: 14 | 60-day-clock: Day 13 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C194 (c1 of 2026-07-01, Wednesday morning-UTC ~09:00; ~20h delta from C193 Tue mid-day). WED-JUL-1-IRAN-DELEGAT...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-07-01 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-30 · Cycle 2 (C193)
War Day: 123 | Ceasefire Day: 13 | 60-day-clock: Day 12 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C193 (c2 of 2026-06-30, Tuesday mid-/late-UTC ~13:30; ~4.5h delta from C192 Tuesday morning UTC ~09:00). DOHA-T...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-30 · Cycle 1 (C192)
War Day: 123 | Ceasefire Day: 13 | 60-day-clock: Day 12 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C192 (c1 of 2026-06-30, Tuesday morning UTC ~09:00; ~13h delta from C191 Monday late-UTC ~20:00). DOHA-TUESDAY-...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-30 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-29 · Cycle 3 (C191)
War Day: 122 | Ceasefire Day: 12 | 60-day-clock: Day 11 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C191 (c3 of 2026-06-29, Monday late-UTC ~20:00; ~5h delta from C190 Monday mid-UTC ~15:00).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-29 · Cycle 2 (C190)
War Day: 122 | Ceasefire Day: 12 | 60-day-clock: Day 11 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C190 (c2 of 2026-06-29, Monday mid-UTC ~15:00; ~6h delta from C189 Monday early-UTC ~09:00).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-29 · Cycle 1 (C189)
War Day: 122 | Ceasefire Day: 12 | 60-day-clock: Day 11 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C189 (c1 of 2026-06-29, Monday early-UTC ~09:00; ~15h delta from C188 Sunday late-afternoon UTC ~18:10).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-29 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-28 · Cycle 3 (C188)
War Day: 121 | Ceasefire Day: 11 | 60-day-clock: Day 10 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C188 (c3 of 2026-06-28, Sunday late-afternoon UTC ~18:10; ~8h delta from C187 Sunday late-morning UTC ~10:10).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-28 · Cycle 2 (C187)
War Day: 121 | Ceasefire Day: 11 | 60-day-clock: Day 10 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C187 (c2 of 2026-06-28, Sunday late-morning UTC ~10:10; ~3h delta from C186 Sunday early-morning UTC ~07:15).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-28 · Cycle 1
War Day: 121 | Ceasefire Day: 11 | 60-day-clock: Day 10 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C186 (c1 of 2026-06-28, Sunday early-morning UTC ~07:15; ~13h delta from C185 Saturday early-evening UTC).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-28 · Cycle 1 (C186)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-27 · Cycle 3 (C185)
War Day: 120 | Ceasefire Day: 10 | 60-day-clock: Day 9 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C185 (c3 of 2026-06-27, Saturday early-evening UTC ~18:10; ~3-4h delta from C184 late-afternoon UTC).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-27 · Cycle 2 (C184)
War Day: 120 | Ceasefire Day: 80 | 60-day-clock: Day 9 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C184 (c2 of 2026-06-27, Saturday late-afternoon UTC; ~8h delta from C183 morning).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-27 · Cycle 1 (C183)
War Day: 120 | Ceasefire Day: 80 | 60-day-clock: Day 9 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C183 (first cycle of 2026-06-27, Saturday morning UTC; ~12-18h delta from C182 Fri late-afternoon UTC).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-27 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-26 · Cycle 3 (C182)
War Day: 119 | Ceasefire Day: 79 | 60-day-clock: Day 8 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C182 (third cycle of 2026-06-26, Friday late-afternoon/evening UTC; ~6h delta from C181 Fri midday UTC).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-26 · Cycle 2 (C181)
War Day: 119 | Ceasefire Day: 79 | 60-day-clock: Day 8 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C181 (second cycle of 2026-06-26, Friday midday UTC; ~3h delta from C180 Fri early UTC).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-26 · Cycle 1 (C180)
War Day: 119 | Ceasefire Day: 79 | 60-day-clock: Day 8 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C180 (first cycle of 2026-06-26, Friday early/midday UTC; ~12-18h delta from C179 Thu late-afternoon UTC).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-25 · Cycle 3
War Day: 118 | Ceasefire Day: 78 | 60-day-clock: Day 7 of 60 (Jun 18 → Aug 18) | Cycle: C179 (third cycle of 2026-06-25, Thursday late-afternoon/evening UTC; ~3-6h delta from C178 Thu midday UTC).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-25 · Cycle 2 (C178)
War Day: 118 | Ceasefire Day: 78 | 60-day-clock: Day 7 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C178 (second cycle of 2026-06-25, Thursday late-morning/midday UTC; ~6-10h delta from C177 Thu...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-25 · Cycle 1 (C177)
War Day: 118 | Ceasefire Day: 78 | 60-day-clock: Day 7 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C177 (first cycle of 2026-06-25, Thursday morning UTC; ~12-18h delta from C176 Wed late-aftern...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-25 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-24 · Cycle 3 (C176)
War Day: 117 | Ceasefire Day: 77 | 60-day-clock: Day 6 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C176 (third cycle of 2026-06-24, Wednesday late-afternoon/evening UTC; ~3-6h delta from C175 W...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-24 · Cycle 2 (C175)
War Day: 117 | Ceasefire Day: 77 | 60-day-clock: Day 6 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C175 (second cycle of 2026-06-24, Wednesday afternoon UTC; ~6h delta from C174 Wednesday morni...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-24 · Cycle 1 (C174)
War Day: 117 | Ceasefire Day: 77 | 60-day-clock: Day 6 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C174 (first cycle of 2026-06-24, Wednesday morning UTC; ~12h delta from C173 Tuesday evening U...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-24 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-23 · Cycle 3 (C173)
War Day: 116 | Ceasefire Day: 76 | 60-day-clock: Day 5 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C173 (third cycle of 2026-06-23, Tuesday evening UTC; ~6h delta from C172 Tuesday late-morning...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-23 · Cycle 2 (C172)
War Day: 116 | Ceasefire Day: 76 | 60-day-clock: Day 5 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C172 (second cycle of 2026-06-23, Tuesday late-morning UTC; ~3h delta from C171 Tuesday-mornin...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-23 · Cycle 1 (C171)
War Day: 116 | Ceasefire Day: 76 | 60-day-clock: Day 5 of 60 (Jun 18 baseline → Aug 18 deadline) | Cycle: C171 (first cycle of 2026-06-23, Tuesday morning CEST; ~14h delta from C170 Monday late-aftern...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-22 · Cycle 3 (C170)
War Day: 115 | Ceasefire Day: 75 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C170 (third cycle of 2026-06-22, Monday late-afternoon CEST ~17:30 / ~18:00; ~5h delta from C169 Monday midday CEST ~12:30).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-22 · Cycle 2 (C169)
War Day: 115 | Ceasefire Day: 75 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C169 (second cycle of 2026-06-22, Monday midday CEST ~12:30 / ~15:00; ~6h delta from C168 Monday morning CEST ~09:00).
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-22 · Cycle 1 (C168)
War Day: 115 | Ceasefire Day: 75 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C168 (first cycle of 2026-06-22, Monday morning CEST ~09:00; ~12h delta from C167 Sunday evening US ET ~20:00 / Monday early-CEST ~0...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-21 · Cycle 3 (C167)
War Day: 114 | Ceasefire Day: 74 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C167 (third cycle of 2026-06-21, Sunday evening US ET ~20:00 / late-CEST → Monday early hours; ~6-7h delta from C166 Sunday EU-mid-d...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-21 · Cycle 2 (C166)
War Day: 114 | Ceasefire Day: 74 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C166 (second cycle of 2026-06-21, Sunday EU-mid-day ~13:00 CEST / ~07:00 ET; ~6h delta from C165 Sunday EU-morning)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-21 · Cycle 1 (C165)
War Day: 114 | Ceasefire Day: 74 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C165 (first cycle of 2026-06-21, Sunday EU-morning ~09:30 CEST / ~03:30 ET; ~24h delta from C164 Saturday EU-morning)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-21 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-20 · Cycle 1 (C164)
War Day: 113 | Ceasefire Day: 73 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C164 (first cycle of 2026-06-20, Saturday EU-morning ~09:30 CEST / ~03:30 ET; ~13h delta from C163 US-Friday-evening)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-19 · Cycle 3 (C163)
War Day: 112 | Ceasefire Day: 72 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C163 (third cycle of 2026-06-19, US-Friday-evening ~20:00 CEST / ~14:00 ET; ~2-4h delta from C162 EU-evening read)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-19 · Cycle 2 (C162)
War Day: 112 | Ceasefire Day: 72 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C162 (second cycle of 2026-06-19, EU-evening CEST ~18:00 / US-Friday-afternoon ~12:00 ET; ~8h delta from C161 ~09:30 CEST)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-19 · Cycle 1 (C161)
War Day: 112 | Ceasefire Day: 72 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C161 (first cycle of 2026-06-19, EU-morning CEST ~09:30 / US-Friday-early-morning; ~11h delta from C160 ~22:30 CEST)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-19 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-18 · Cycle 2 (C160)
War Day: 111 | Ceasefire Day: 71 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C160 (2nd cycle of 2026-06-18, EU-evening CEST ~22:30 / US-Thursday-afternoon; ~13.5h delta from C159 ~09:00 CEST)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-18 · Cycle 1 (C159)
War Day: 111 | Ceasefire Day: 71 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C159 (first cycle of 2026-06-18, EU-morning CEST ~09:00 / US-Thursday-overnight; ~13h delta from C158 c2 ~20:00 CEST)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-18 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-17 · Cycle 2 (C158)
War Day: 110 | Ceasefire Day: 70 (Apr 8 calendar baseline) | Cycle: C158 (second cycle of 2026-06-17, EU-evening CEST ~20:00 / US-Wednesday-midday; ~8h delta from C157 c1 ~12:00 CEST)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-17 · Cycle 1 (C157)
War Day: 110 | Ceasefire Day: 70 (Apr 8 baseline; calendar) | Cycle: C157 (first cycle of 2026-06-17, US-Wednesday-morning / EU-midday CEST ~12:00; ~15h delta from C156 c3 21:00 CEST)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-17 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-16 · Cycle 3 (C156)
War Day: 109 | Ceasefire Day: 69 (Apr 8 baseline; calendar) | Cycle: C156 (third cycle of 2026-06-16, US-Tuesday-close / EU-evening CEST ~21:00; ~9h delta from C155 c2 12:10 CEST)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-16 · Cycle 2 (C155)
War Day: 109 | Ceasefire Day: 69 (Apr 8 baseline; calendar) | Cycle: C155 (second cycle of 2026-06-16, EU-mid-morning / Asia-close CEST ~12:10; ~3h delta from C154 c1 07:22 UTC)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-16 · Cycle 1 (C154)
War Day: 109 | Ceasefire Day: 69 (Apr 8 baseline; calendar) | Cycle: C154 (first cycle of 2026-06-16, ~Asia-pre-open / EU-morning CEST ~09:00; ~13-14h delta from C153)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-16 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-15 · Cycle 3 (C153)
War Day: 108 | Ceasefire Day: 68 (Apr 8 baseline; calendar) | Cycle: C153 (third cycle of 2026-06-15, ~US-evening / Asia-pre-open CEST ~20:00; ~5-6h delta from C152 c2)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-15 · Cycle 2 (C152)
War Day: 108 | Ceasefire Day: 68 (Apr 8 baseline; calendar) | Cycle: C152 (second cycle of 2026-06-15, ~European-afternoon / US-pre-open CEST; ~6-8h delta from C151 c1)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-15 · Cycle 1 (C151)
War Day: 108 | Ceasefire Day: 68 (Apr 8 baseline; calendar) | Cycle: C151 (first cycle of 2026-06-15, ~Asia-Monday-open / European morning CEST; ~10-14h delta from C150 c3)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-15 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-14 · Cycle 3 (C150)
War Day: 107 | Ceasefire Day: 69 (Apr 8 baseline; math-recheck: 67 calendar) | Cycle: C150 (C3 of 2026-06-14, ~late-late-evening CEST / pre-Asia-Monday-open run; ~3-6h delta from C149 c2)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-14 · Cycle 2 (C149)
War Day: 107 | Ceasefire Day: 69 (Apr 8 baseline; math-recheck: 67 calendar) | Cycle: C149 (C2 of 2026-06-14, ~late-evening CEST run; ~12-15h delta from C148 c1)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-14 · Cycle 1 (C148)
War Day: 107 | Ceasefire Day: 69 (Apr 8 baseline) | Cycle: C148 (C1 of 2026-06-14, ~evening CEST run; ~24h delta from C147 c3)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-14 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-13 · Cycle 3 (C147)
War Day: 106 | Ceasefire Day: 68 (Apr 8 ceasefire baseline; Trump Truth Social: "Deal scheduled to get signed tomorrow, immediately after Hormuz Strait OPEN TO ALL" + IRAN FM SPOKESMAN BAGHAEI DIRECTL...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-13 · Cycle 2 (C146)
War Day: 106 | Ceasefire Day: 68 (Apr 8 ceasefire baseline; Geneva confirmed as Sunday signing venue (Reuters) + Vance ↔ Iran Parliament Speaker Qalibaf as signatories disclosed + Israel strikes Tyre ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-13 · Cycle 1 (C145)
War Day: 106 | Ceasefire Day: 68 (Apr 8 ceasefire baseline; Trump "DISHONORABLE" Truth Social: Iranian-leaked terms "fake news" + "they better get their act together, and FAST" + Pakistan PM Sharif: "...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-13 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-12 · Cycle 2 (C144)
War Day: 105 | Ceasefire Day: 67 (Apr 8 ceasefire baseline; Trump "GREAT SETTLEMENT" + "Saturday or Monday signing in Europe" + "VP Vance to attend" + "Hormuz officially opens as soon as we sign" — vs...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-12 · Cycle 1 (C143)
War Day: 105 | Ceasefire Day: 67 (Apr 8 ceasefire: Iran FM "MEANINGLESS" framing C142 carries; Trump CANCELS THIRD NIGHT STRIKES + announces peace deal "soon" + signing date "to be announced shortly";...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-11 · Cycle 2 (C142)
War Day: 104 | Ceasefire Day: 66 (Apr 8 ceasefire: Iran FM formally calls ceasefire "MEANINGLESS" today without abandoning it; Iran-Israel direct-leg pause HOLDS through sixth window; US-Iran Gulf-leg...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-11 · Cycle 1 (C141)
War Day: 104 | Ceasefire Day: 66 (April 8 ceasefire: Iran-Israel direct-leg pause HOLDS through fifth window; US-Iran Gulf-leg CHAINED — C140's "closed cycle" read INVALIDATED by Trump "pay the price"...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-11 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-10 · Cycle 2 (C140)
War Day: 103 | Ceasefire Day: 65 (April 8 ceasefire: Iran-Israel direct-leg pause HOLDS; US-Iran Gulf-leg exchange of Jun 9-10 reads as CLOSED CYCLE at read — CENTCOM "strikes completed," no US follow...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-10 · Cycle 1 (C139)
War Day: 103 | Ceasefire Day: 65 (April 8 ceasefire: Iran-Israel direct-leg pause HOLDS through third window — BUT US-IRAN GULF-LEG GOES KINETIC-ACTIVE BILATERAL overnight: US retaliatory strikes ~20 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-10 · Cycle 1
War Day: 103 | Ceasefire Day: 64 (April 8 ceasefire: Iran-Israel direct-leg pause HOLDS ~37h+ — BUT US-IRAN LEG GOES KINETIC: Apache downing over Strait → US "self-defense" strikes on Iranian air-defe...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-09 · Cycle 2 (C138)
War Day: 102 | Ceasefire Day: 64 (April 8 ceasefire Iran-Israel direct-leg operational RE-PAUSE HOLDS through ~36-hour window despite US APACHE HELICOPTER DOWNED OVER STRAIT OF HORMUZ + TYRE STRIKES (...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-09 · Cycle 1 (C137)
War Day: 102 | Ceasefire Day: 64 (April 8 ceasefire Iran-Israel direct-leg operationally RE-PAUSED Jun 8 mid-day via mutual halt; PAUSE HOLDS THROUGH OVERNIGHT JUN 8 → JUN 9 — first durability-test wi...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-09 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-08 · Cycle 3 (C136)
War Day: 101 | Ceasefire Day: 63 (April 8 ceasefire Iran-Israel direct-leg OPERATIONALLY RE-PAUSED Jun 8 mid-day via Iran "Operation Nasr concluded — Israel has learned a lesson" + Israeli pause at Tr...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-08 · Cycle 2 (C135)
War Day: 101 | Ceasefire Day: 63 (April 8 ceasefire STRUCTURALLY EXPIRED at Iran-Israel direct-leg; Iran missile campaign now multi-wave; first attack on Iranian energy infrastructure since April 8 co...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-08 · Cycle 1 (C134)
War Day: 101 | Ceasefire Day: 63 (US-side nominal; April 8 ceasefire structurally COLLAPSED at the Iran-Israel-leg via Jun 7 NIGHT Iran missile salvo on Israel — FIRST IRAN→ISRAEL KINETIC STRIKE SINCE...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-08 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-07 · Cycle 1 (C133)
War Day: 100 (MILESTONE — 100 DAYS SINCE FEB 28) | Ceasefire Day: 62 (US-side nominal; multiple mutual-kinetic ceasefire violations confirmed Jun 6 + Jun 7 — fragile ceasefire structurally degraded ac...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-07 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-05 · Cycle 3
War Day: 98 | Ceasefire Day: 60 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim halt nominally Day 7 narrative-eroding under Rezaei MOU-ambiguities-clarification framing; Lebanon-Israel Trilateral Day 2 — HEZBOLLAH QAS...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-05 · Cycle 2 (C131)
War Day: 98 | Ceasefire Day: 60 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim halt nominally Day 7; Lebanon-Israel Trilateral Day 2 — HEZBOLLAH QASSEM REJECTION HOLDS + MUTUAL KINETIC ACCELERATING + UNIFIL ATTRIBUTIO...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-05 · Cycle 1 (C130)
War Day: 98 | Ceasefire Day: 60 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim halt nominally Day 7 but Araghchi Jun 4 walk-back ("communications have not been cut off") propagates into Jun 5; Lebanon-Israel Trilatera...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-05 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-04 · Cycle 4
War Day: 97 | Ceasefire Day: 59 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim halt nominally Day 6 but Araghchi Jun 4 walks back to "communications have not been cut off"; Lebanon-Israel Trilateral renewed Jun 3-4 — ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-04 · Cycle 1 (C126)
War Day: 97 | Ceasefire Day: 59 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU exchange halt Day 4; Lebanon-Israel CEASEFIRE RENEWED — Trilateral Joint Statement Jun 3-4) | Cycle: C126 (C1 of 2026-06-04)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-03 · Cycle 1 (C123)
War Day: 96 | Ceasefire Day: 58 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU halt Day 3; Lebanon partial ceasefire "3-week extension" framework Day 3 — 4th-round Washington talks Day 2 of 2) | Cycle: C123 (C1 of...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-01 · Cycle 1 (C117)
War Day: 94 | Ceasefire Day: 56 | Cycle: C117 (C1 of 2026-06-01)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-04 · Cycle 3 (C128)
War Day: 97 | Ceasefire Day: 59 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU exchange halt Day 5; Lebanon-Israel Trilateral renewed Jun 3-4 — HEZBOLLAH FORMAL REJECTION VIA QASSEM ON AL-MANAR Jun 4 — binding con...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-04 · Cycle 2 (C127)
War Day: 97 | Ceasefire Day: 59 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU exchange halt Day 5; Lebanon-Israel Trilateral renewed Jun 3-4 — HEZBOLLAH FORMAL REJECTION VIA QASSEM Jun 4 — binding constraint firi...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-04 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-03 · Cycle 3 (C125)
War Day: 96 | Ceasefire Day: 58 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU exchange halt Day 3; Lebanon "3-week extension" Day 3 — 4th-round Washington Day 2 of 2 wrapping) | Cycle: C125 (C3 of 2026-06-03)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-03 · Cycle 2 (C124)
War Day: 96 | Ceasefire Day: 58 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU exchange halt Day 3; Lebanon partial "3-week extension" Day 3 — 4th-round Washington talks Day 2 of 2 underway) | Cycle: C124 (C2 of 2...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-02 · Cycle 3 (C122)
War Day: 95 | Ceasefire Day: 57 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU exchange halt Day 2; Lebanon partial ceasefire / "3-week extension" framework Day 2 — 4th-round Washington talks Jun 2-3 underway) | C...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-02 · Cycle 2 (C121)
War Day: 95 | Ceasefire Day: 57 (US-side nominal; Iran Tasnim MOU exchange halt now Day 2; Lebanon partial ceasefire / "3-week extension" formalized but violations ongoing) | Cycle: C121 (C2 of 2026-0...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-02 · Cycle 1 (C120)
War Day: 95 | Ceasefire Day: 57 (still nominally in force on US side; Iran's exchange halt holding through Tuesday open) | Cycle: C120 (C1 of 2026-06-02)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-02 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-01 · Cycle 3 (C119)
War Day: 94 | Ceasefire Day: 56 (formally SUSPENDED by Iran this cycle) | Cycle: C119 (C3 of 2026-06-01)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-01 · Cycle 2 (C118)
War Day: 94 | Ceasefire Day: 56 | Cycle: C118 (C2 of 2026-06-01)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-06-01 · Cycle 1
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-31 · Cycle 2 (Desktop Substrate)
War Day: 93 | Ceasefire Day: 55 | Cycle: C116 (C2 of 2026-05-31; C1 authored earlier today + desktop addendum)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-31 · Cycle 115
War Day: 93 | Ceasefire Day: 55 | Cycle: C115 (est. — terminal marker was C107 on 2026-05-28 morning per Scout Status note; desktop file series last at C88/May 16)
12 signals from 8 accounts. Sources swept via Grok X deep scan.
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-28 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-26 · Cycle 106
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-25 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-25 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-24 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-24 · Afternoon Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-24 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-22 · Afternoon Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-22 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-21 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-21 · Afternoon Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-21 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-20 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-20 · Afternoon Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-20 · Cycle 94 (Grok-bridged)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-20 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-20 · Cycle 93
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-19 · Late Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-19 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-19 · Cycle 90
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-18 · Late Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-18 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-18 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-17 · Night Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-17 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-16 · Night Cycle (Terminal Substrate)
War Day: 78 | Ceasefire Day: 40 | Cycle: C88
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — C84 / War Day 79
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-16 · Cycle 87
War Day: 78 | Ceasefire Day: 40 | Cycle: C87
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-16 · Morning Cycle
War Day: 78 | Ceasefire Day: 40 | Cycle: C84
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-16 · Evening Cycle
War Day: 78 | Ceasefire Day: 40 | Cycle: C86
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-16 · Afternoon Cycle
War Day: 78 | Ceasefire Day: 40 | Cycle: C85
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — Cycle 84 (C4/Day)
Date: 2026-05-15 | Conflict Day: 77 | Ceasefire Day: 38
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — Cycle 83 (C3/Day)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-15 · Afternoon Cycle
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on May 15 that negotiations with the United States over enriched uranium have reached a temporary deadlock. Key positions:
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-14 · Evening Cycle (20:00)
UPGRADE from C81 "in progress" → CONCLUDED WITHOUT AGREEMENT
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-15 · Morning Cycle
Trump departed Beijing on May 15 after two days of summit meetings with Xi Jinping. A detailed joint readout with nine specific commitments was published, covering bilateral trade, energy security, co...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-13 · Evening Cycle
C78 cited Trump's claim that Project Freedom paused due to "great progress" toward a deal. New reporting contradicts this. The New York Times reports the real reason: Saudi Arabia denied the United St...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-14 · Cycle 81
UKMTO reported today (May 14) that a vessel was "taken by unauthorized personnel whilst at anchor" 38 nautical miles northeast of Fujairah. The company security officer reported the vessel was taken b...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-14 · Morning Cycle
Trump-Xi bilateral meetings ran Thursday morning Beijing time (May 14). Key signals:
Trump arrived at Beijing Capital International Airport at approximately 19:50 local time (May 13). Greeted by Chinese Vice President Han Zheng — not Xi himself, but protocol-appropriate for arrival vs...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-13 · Cycle 76
Bloomberg reports the Chinese-owned VLCC Yuan Hua Hu (COSCO Shipping) loaded with ~2 million barrels of Iraqi crude from Basra Oil Terminal (loaded early March) has passed Iran's Larak Island and is n...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-13 · Cycle 75
Trump has arrived in Beijing for a state visit running May 13-15. This is the first US presidential visit to China since 2017. Bilateral meetings with Xi, state banquet, and working lunch planned acro...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-12 · Evening Cycle
No new kinetic escalation since the afternoon cycle. The ceasefire wrapper is holding in the minimal sense — both sides continue low-level operations (US disabled Iranian tankers May 8; Hezbollah dail...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-12 · Cycle 74
Brent crude surged sharply during Tuesday's session, climbing from C73's $104.97 to $108.05 (+3.7%, AP/Washington Times) and as high as $110.43 at 9:00 AM ET (Fortune). WTI rose to $101.87 (+3.87%, Tr...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-12 · Morning Cycle
The most significant new signal of C73: Trump has accused Iran of walking back a prior agreement to allow the US to remove Iran's enriched uranium stockpile. "They did two days ago, but they changed t...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-12 · Cycle 73
WTI crude oil broke through the psychologically critical $100/bbl barrier on May 12 for the first time since the war began, trading at $101.01. Brent stabilized at $104.97, up 0.73% from prior session...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-12 · Overnight/Morning Cycle
The fourth round of US-Iran talks was held May 11 in Oman, prior to Trump's departure for the Middle East/Asia. The talks lasted more than three hours. Both sides described the discussions as "difficu...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-11 · Evening Cycle
Trump escalated rhetoric sharply from C72's "TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE" to "massive life support" — with the vivid framing: "the doctor walks in and says, 'Sir, your loved one has approximately a 1% chance...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-11 · Cycle 2
The C71 binary resolved decisively in the upward direction once Asian/European markets opened in full. Brent crude crossed $105/bbl (HDFC Sky), up 4%+ from C71's $104.80 close. WTI broke into the $99....
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-11 · Morning Cycle
C70 identified three scenarios for the MOU content relay. The answer arrived within hours: Scenario B/C hybrid. Trump posted on social media: "TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE!" and accused Iran of "playing games...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-10 · Afternoon Cycle
The single most structurally significant development since C70. The LNG tanker Al Kharaitiyat departed Qatar's Ras Laffan and crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday — the first transit since the war b...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-10 · Cycle 70
The single most important development since C69. Iran's state news agency IRNA confirmed on May 10: "The Islamic Republic of Iran's response to the latest proposed U.S. draft aimed at ending the war w...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-09 · Evening Cycle
Rubio said the US expected Iran's response today. ISNA said "soon." As of 16:00 CEST, no formal Iranian response has been transmitted to Pakistani mediators or publicly confirmed. Iran's FM Araghchi i...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-09 · Cycle 69
C68 flagged the first Hezbollah cross-border strikes since the April 16 ceasefire. C69 confirms this was not an isolated incident but a systematic escalation:
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-09 · Morning Cycle
As of Saturday morning Eastern time, Iran has not delivered a formal response to the 14-point MOU. Trump's "supposedly tonight" (Friday night) window has passed without resolution.
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-08 · Evening Cycle
The U.S. military fired upon and disabled two more Iranian-flagged tankers attempting to breach the American blockade of Iran's ports. The M/T Sea Star III and M/T Sevda were transiting the Gulf of Om...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-08 · Afternoon Cycle
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking in Rome on Friday, said: "We should know something today... We're expecting a response from them." The 48-hour window from May 7 closes today/tomorrow. Rubio a...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-08 · Cycle 66 (Grok Addendum)
Three US Navy guided-missile destroyers — USS Truxtun, USS Rafael Peralta, USS Mason — came under fire from Iranian missiles, drones, and small boats while transiting the Strait of Hormuz toward the G...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-07 · Evening Cycle
C64 framed today (May 7) as the binary event — Iran's MOU response expected via Pakistan. It did not arrive.
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-07 · Cycle 64
C63 carried the French container ship strike as timing-uncertain: was it before or after the IRGC safe passage statement? RESOLVED.
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-07 · Cycle 63
C62 flagged the F-18/Hasna signal as GROK OSINT UNCONFIRMED. Multiple Tier 1 sources now confirm: US F/A-18 Super Hornet from USS Abraham Lincoln fired 20mm cannon rounds at the rudder of M/T Hasna, a...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-06 · Cycle 62
1. IRGC NO-ATTACK POSTURE HOLDING (C61→C62 window) — No new tanker attacks or maritime incidents reported between the afternoon cycle and this evening sweep. Running total holds at 75. The IRGC's safe...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-06 · Cycle 61
Iran's Revolutionary Guard navy command stated May 6: "With the end of the aggressors' threats and in the shadow of new procedures, the possibility of safe and sustainable passage through the strait w...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-06 · Cycle 60
WTI $89.76 (–12.24%). This crosses Scout's tracked de-escalation threshold: Brent/WTI sustained below $90 = significant de-escalation signal. Driver: Axios reporting US-Iran nearing one-page MOU deal ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-05 · Afternoon Cycle
1. UAE ATTACKED SECOND CONSECUTIVE DAY — NEW BARRAGE INTERCEPTED (May 5, Al Jazeera/Las Vegas Sun/The National) — The UAE's air defenses engaged a new Iranian barrage on May 5, the second consecutive ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-05 · Cycle 59
1. RUWAIS INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX STRUCK — ADNOC 922K BPD REFINERY SHUTDOWN — C58 MISSED THIS (May 4, France 24/CBC/various) — An Iranian drone struck the Ruwais Industrial Complex in Abu Dhabi, causing AD...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-04 · Morning Cycle
1. SECOND TANKER ATTACK IN 8 HOURS — MARITIME EVENT #71 — 78NM N OF FUJAIRAH (May 3 ~1940 UTC, post-C58, UKMTO/Times of Israel/Free Malaysia Today/Arab News/Middle East Eye/Seatrade/Gulf News) — A tan...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-03 · Afternoon Cycle
1. BULK CARRIER ATTACKED — FIRST MARITIME INCIDENT IN 11 DAYS — CEASEFIRE MARITIME COMPONENT BROKEN (May 3, UKMTO/Al Jazeera/CBS/Seatrade/Ship&Bunker/CBC) — The Liberian-flagged bulk carrier Minoan Fa...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-03 · Cycle 57
1. IRAN 14-POINT PROPOSAL — THE FULL FRAMEWORK EMERGES (May 2-3, NPR/Al Jazeera/CNN/The National/Deccan Chronicle) — Iran submitted a 14-point response to the US proposal via Pakistan. Key demands: (a...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-02 · Afternoon Cycle
1. OFAC SANCTIONS ALERT: PAYING IRAN FOR HORMUZ PASSAGE NOW SANCTIONABLE (May 1-2, OFAC/WaPo/Bloomberg/CBC/USNews/multiple) — OFAC posted an alert warning U.S. and non-U.S. persons that paying Iran "t...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-02 · Cycle 56
1. USS GERALD FORD EXITS MIDDLE EAST — CARRIER PRESENCE DROPS 3→2 (May 1-2, WaPo/Stars & Stripes/Gulf News) — The USS Gerald R. Ford has left the Middle East after a record 10+ month deployment, reduc...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-01 · Cycle 55 (Grok Bridge)
1. OIL PRICE CRASH — BRENT –$7 TO ~$107; WTI –$5 TO ~$100 — IRAN PROPOSAL SELLOFF (May 1 afternoon, CNBC/Bloomberg/Athens Times/India.com) — The single largest intra-day move since the ceasefire. Bren...
Agent Commerce Protocol Convergence — Periodic Summary Q1 2026
Coverage: Cycles 1–9 (March 10 – April 30, 2026)
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-05-01 · Cycle 54
1. CONVERGENCE DAY ARRIVES — WAR POWERS DEADLINE PASSES SILENTLY — CONGRESS ON RECESS (May 1, CNN/Bloomberg/NPR/WaPo/Al Jazeera/Boston Globe) — The 60-day War Powers Resolution deadline has arrived. C...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-30 · Afternoon Cycle
1. MARITIME FREEDOM CONSTRUCT (MFC) LAUNCHED — US COALITION TO REOPEN HORMUZ (Apr 30, Euronews/Arab News/FMT/SAFETY4SEA/Yeni Safak) — Secretary of State Marco Rubio authorized a new framework: the Mar...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-30 · Cycle 53
1. BRENT FLASH-SPIKES TO $126.41 — MARCH PEAK RETESTED — THEN RETREATS TO ~$114.70-115.80 (Apr 30, CNBC/CNN/Euronews/WaPo/Al Jazeera) — Brent crude surged overnight to touch $126.41/bbl, the highest i...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-29 · Afternoon Cycle
1. BRENT EXPLODES TO $118.33 — WTI SHATTERS $100 AT $106.37 (Apr 29, CNBC/TradingEconomics/Fortune) — Brent crude surged more than 6% intraday to $118.33/bbl by 12:10pm ET, up $4.86 from C52's $113.47...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-29 · Cycle 52
1. TRUMP: "NO MORE MR. NICE GUY" — AI GUN IMAGE POSTED (Apr 29, ABC/CNBC/The Hill/Israel Hayom/WION/Gulf News) — Trump posted to social media early Wednesday warning Iran of fresh consequences if it d...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-28 · Cycle 51
1. UAE EXITS OPEC AND OPEC+ — EFFECTIVE MAY 1 (Apr 28, CNBC/Bloomberg/Al Jazeera/US News/The National/Investing.com/Business Post) — The United Arab Emirates announced its withdrawal from OPEC and OPE...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-27 · Afternoon Cycle
1. IRAN SUBMITS NEW PROPOSAL — HORMUZ FOR BLOCKADE LIFT + PERMANENT TRUCE, NUCLEAR DEFERRED (Apr 27, Axios/WaPo/Fox/CNBC/PBS/Fortune/Jerusalem Post/Al Arabiya/HuffPost) — Iran gave the US a new propos...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-27 · Cycle 50
1. ARAGHCHI PIVOTS TO MOSCOW — MEETS PUTIN + LAVROV (Apr 27, Al Jazeera/CNN/Bloomberg/Moscow Times/Euronews/NBC/Daily Pakistan) — After R2 collapsed in Islamabad (C49), Iran's FM Abbas Araghchi briefl...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-26 · Morning Cycle
1. PEZESHKIAN CONFIRMS PRECONDITION AT PRESIDENTIAL LEVEL — "NO FORCED NEGOTIATIONS" (Apr 26, CNN/Israel National News/IRIB) — Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian, in a phone call with Pakistani PM She...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-25 · Cycle 49
1. R2 COLLAPSED — ARAGHCHI LEFT ISLAMABAD, TRUMP CANCELLED TRIP (Apr 25, Al Jazeera/CNN/NPR/Bloomberg/Axios/Euronews/CNBC/NBC/CBS/Fox/Times of Israel) — The second round of Islamabad talks died before...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-25 · Cycle 48
1. TEHRAN INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS RESUME — FIRST SINCE FEB 28 (Apr 25, Al Jazeera/WION/India TV/Deccan Chronicle/PressTV) — Iran reopened Imam Khomeini International Airport to commercial flights for th...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-25 · Morning Cycle
1. IRAN DENIES DIRECT TALKS WITH US IN ISLAMABAD (Apr 25, Bloomberg/PressTV/Gulf News/Business Standard/Times of Israel) — Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei stated flatly: "No meeti...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-24 · Cycle 46
1. R2 CONFIRMED: WITKOFF + KUSHNER DEPLOYING TO ISLAMABAD SATURDAY (Apr 24, CNN/CNBC/Axios/ABC/CBS) — The White House confirmed that US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will travel to Pakistan o...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-24 · Cycle 45
1. IRAN REVERSAL: ARAGHCHI HEADING TO ISLAMABAD TONIGHT — R2 TALKS REVIVING (Apr 24, CNN/Bloomberg/Al Jazeera/The Week) — In a dramatic reversal from C44's assessment of "DEAD — Iran refuses to send n...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-24 · Morning Cycle
1. IRGC DEPLOYED MORE MINES DESPITE "SHOOT AND KILL" — DETERRENCE FAILING (Apr 23, Axios/Times of Israel) — Iran's IRGC navy laid additional mines in the Strait of Hormuz this week, according to a U.S...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-23 · Cycle 43
1. MAJESTIC X SEIZED — US NOW HOLDS 3 TANKERS, TIT-FOR-TAT EQUALIZES AT 3v3 (Apr 23, Military.com/ABC/Stars and Stripes/CBS) — U.S. forces boarded and seized the Guinea-flagged oil tanker Majestic X (...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-23 · Cycle 42
1. TRUMP: "SHOOT AND KILL ANY BOAT" LAYING MINES IN HORMUZ (Apr 23, CNBC/Times of Israel/NBC) — Trump posted on Truth Social: "I am hereby ordering the Navy to shoot and kill any boat that is putting ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-23 · Morning Cycle
1. TRUMP: "NO TIME FRAME" ON WAR — DENIES MIDTERMS DRIVING DECISIONS (Apr 23, CNN/NBC) — Trump told reporters there is "no time frame" for the conflict with Iran, rejecting suggestions that the Novemb...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-22 · Cycle 40
1. BRENT RE-CROSSES $100 — HOLDING ABOVE (Apr 22 mid-day, CNBC/Fortune/OilPriceAPI/Angle360) — Brent crude rose >2% to $100.91/bbl by 11:18 ET. Trading range $96.56–$102.31. WTI advanced >2% to $91.81...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-22 · Morning Cycle
1. CEASEFIRE EXTENDED INDEFINITELY — BLOCKADE REMAINS (Apr 21-22, CNBC/CNN/Al Jazeera/Axios/Euronews) — Trump extended the two-week ceasefire "until such time as" Iran's leaders submit a "unified prop...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-21 · Cycle 38
1. OIL TAPE RESOLUTION: MONDAY CLOSED STRONG — BRENT +5.58% (Apr 21, Trading Economics/FXDailyReport) — C37 caught intraday softening, but the full Monday picture: Brent surged from Friday's crash clo...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-21 · Cycle 37
1. GHALIBAF: "NEW CARDS ON THE BATTLEFIELD" (Apr 21, PressTV/CNBC) — Iranian Parliament Speaker and chief negotiator told PressTV: "In the past two weeks, we have prepared to reveal new cards on the b...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-21 · Cycle 36
1. CEASEFIRE T-1 — TRUMP: "HIGHLY UNLIKELY" TO EXTEND (Apr 20, Day 52) — Trump told Fox News: ceasefire ends "Wednesday evening Washington time" and he is "highly unlikely" to extend it if no deal is ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-20 · Cycle 35
1. IRGC NAVAL FORCES RE-CLOSE STRAIT (Apr 18 ~12:00 UTC) — Formal IRGC statement: "Approaching the Strait of Hormuz will be considered cooperation with the enemy, and any offending vessel will be targ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-18 · Cycle 34
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-17 · Cycle 3
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-17 · Cycle 2
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-17 · Cycle 31
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-16 · Cycle 3
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-16 · Cycle 29
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-16 · Morning Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-16 · Cycle 28
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-15 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴 CENTCOM: BLOCKADE "FULLY IMPLEMENTED" — ALL SEABORNE TRADE TO/FROM IRAN HALTED — Admiral Brad Cooper declared the blockade of Iranian ports fully implemented within 36 hours. 10,000+ US personnel...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-14 · Cycle 25
> 🟡 ICS CONDEMNS BLOCKADE AS "STEP BACKWARDS" — FIRST MAJOR SHIPPING BODY TO BREAK WITH US — John Denholm, Chairman Designate of the International Chamber of Shipping (representing 80% of global merc...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-14 · Cycle 24
> 🟡🟡🟡 BLOCKADE POROUS — CHINESE SANCTIONED TANKER RICH STARRY TRANSITED UNCHALLENGED — The Chinese-owned, US-sanctioned medium-range tanker Rich Starry (carrying ~250K bbl methanol, loaded at Hamri...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-14 · Morning Cycle
> 🟡🟡 TRUMP: "TEHRAN WANTS A DEAL" — FIRST RHETORICAL DE-ESCALATION SINCE BLOCKADE — Al Jazeera live blog (April 14) reports Trump claiming Tehran wants a deal amid the active US blockade. This is a ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-13 · Cycle 21
> 🔴🔴🔴 BLOCKADE ENFORCEMENT BEGAN 14:00 GMT — DUAL-AUTHORITY STRAIT NOW ACTIVE — CENTCOM confirmed US naval blockade of all maritime traffic entering/exiting Iranian ports became effective at 10:00 ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-13 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴🔴🔴 PHASE TRANSITION: ISLAMABAD TALKS COLLAPSE → TRUMP DECLARES NAVAL BLOCKADE OF HORMUZ — The 21-hour marathon Islamabad talks ended April 12 without a deal. VP Vance left Pakistan stating no ag...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-11 · Cycle 1
> 🔴🔴 HORMUZ TRANSIT COLLAPSES TO 2 SHIPS ON APR 11 — LOWEST SINCE CEASEFIRE, NEITHER OIL NOR GAS — Per S&P Global Market Intelligence ship tracking data, just two vessels transited the Strait of Hor...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-10 · Cycle 2 (Evening)
> 🔴🔴 SAUDI ARAMCO QUANTIFIES PETROLINE DAMAGE — 700,000 bpd CAPACITY LOST — The Saudi energy ministry confirmed that the IRGC drone strike on the East-West pipeline pumping station (c. 13:00 local A...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-09 · Morning Cycle (C1)
> 🔴 STRAIT AT STANDSTILL DESPITE CEASEFIRE — RNZ: "Ship traffic remains at standstill" — Only two ships (NJ Earth, Daytona Beach) transited overnight after ceasefire announcement, then traffic halted...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-08 · Morning Cycle (C1)
> 🟢🟢 CEASEFIRE REACHED — 2 WEEKS: The US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire less than 2 hours before Trump's 8PM ET deadline. Trump: "I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a per...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-07 · Morning Cycle (C1)
> CRITICAL ALERT — DEADLINE DAY: TRUMP'S 8PM ET TUESDAY ULTIMATUM EXPIRES TONIGHT: This is the day. Trump has set 8:00 PM ET (midnight GMT) tonight as his "final" deadline for Iran to reopen the Strai...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-06 · Evening Cycle (C3)
> CRITICAL ALERT — IRAN DELIVERS 10-POINT COUNTER-PROPOSAL VIA PAKISTAN: Iran has formally transmitted a 10-point response to the US ceasefire proposal through Pakistan. Key demands: immediate and irr...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-06 · Afternoon Cycle (C2)
> CRITICAL ALERT — ISRAEL STRIKES SOUTH PARS (ASALUYEH) — 50% OF IRAN'S PETROCHEMICAL PRODUCTION: Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz confirmed Israel "has just powerfully struck the largest petroche...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-06 · Morning Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — IRGC INTELLIGENCE CHIEF MAJID KHADEMI KILLED: Iran confirmed IRGC intelligence organization chief Majid Khademi was killed in US-Israeli strikes "at dawn" on April 6. Khademi oversa...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-05 · Evening Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — TRUMP DUAL-TRACK: "POWER PLANT DAY" + "GOOD CHANCE OF DEAL BY MONDAY": In the hours after his profanity-laced "Power Plant Day" Truth Social post, Trump told Fox News "the Iranians ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-05 · Afternoon Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — TRUMP: "TUESDAY WILL BE POWER PLANT DAY, AND BRIDGE DAY": In a profanity-laced Truth Social post on Easter Sunday, Trump declared Tuesday (April 7) will be "Power Plant Day, and Bri...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-05 · Morning Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — APRIL 6 DEADLINE ~35 HOURS: Trump's extended pause on striking Iranian power plants expires Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 PM ET. No extension signal. Trump: "time is running out." Ira...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-04 · Afternoon Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — APRIL 6 DEADLINE 48 HOURS: Trump's extended pause on striking Iranian power plants expires Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 PM ET. No extension signal. Trump rhetoric escalating. Binary ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-04 · Morning Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — APRIL 6 DEADLINE 2 DAYS AWAY: Trump's extended pause on striking Iranian power plants expires Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 PM ET. Iran has not reopened the Strait. Trump: "hasn't eve...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-03 · Afternoon Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — APRIL 6 DEADLINE 3 DAYS AWAY: Trump's extended pause on striking Iranian power plants expires Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 PM ET. Trump: "hasn't even started destroying what's left i...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-03 · Morning Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — APRIL 6 DEADLINE 3 DAYS AWAY: Trump's extended pause on striking Iranian power plants expires Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 PM ET. Iran has not reopened the Strait. Trump addressed th...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-02 · Evening Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — BRENT SURGES TO $111.69: Brent crude hit $111.69/bbl by 10:15 AM ET on April 2 — up $6.83 from prior close ($101.16 on April 1). Now within $0.50 of the March 20 war high ($112.19)....
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-02 · Afternoon Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — BRENT SURGES 8% TO $109: Oil explodes higher on April 2 as Trump vows "extremely hard" strikes for 2-3 more weeks. June Brent at $109.25 — approaching structural floor re-test from ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-02 · Morning Cycle
> CRITICAL ALERT — APRIL 6 DEADLINE 4 DAYS AWAY: Trump's extended pause on striking Iranian power plants expires Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 PM ET. Iran has not reopened the Strait. Trump's primetime ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-01 · Afternoon Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — IRAN MISSILE STRIKES QATARENERGY OIL TANKER OFF QATAR COAST: One of three Iranian missiles struck the Aqua 1, a QatarEnergy-leased fuel oil tanker, in Qatar's northern territoria...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-04-01 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — IRAN STRIKES KUWAIT INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT FUEL TANKS: Iranian drones hit fuel storage tanks at Kuwait International Airport, sparking "large fire." Radar system sustained "signif...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-31 · Evening Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — 200 US "DYNAMIC STRIKES" ON ISFAHAN OVERNIGHT: SecDef Hegseth confirmed ~200 strikes on ammunition depots in Isfahan province. "American firepower is only increasing. Iran's decr...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-31 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — KUWAITI OIL TANKER AL-SALMI STRUCK BY IRANIAN DRONE IN DUBAI PORT AREA: Fully laden VLCC hit just after midnight, 31nm NW of Dubai in anchorage zone packed with ships. Hull damag...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-30 · Afternoon Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — TRUMP THREATENS TO "COMPLETELY OBLITERATE" KHARG ISLAND, ALL OIL WELLS, POWER PLANTS, AND POSSIBLY DESALINATION: Trump posted: "if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately 'Open for ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-29 · Evening Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — PENTAGON PREPARING WEEKS-LONG GROUND OPERATIONS IN IRAN: Washington Post and Al Jazeera report the Pentagon is readying Marines and 82nd Airborne Division for extended ground rai...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-29 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — HOUTHIS LAUNCH SECOND ASSAULT ON ISRAEL: Second Houthi missile and drone salvo targeted Israel on March 29 — confirming this is a CAMPAIGN, not a one-off. Two waves in <24 hours....
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-28 · Afternoon Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — HOUTHIS ENTER THE WAR: Yemen's Houthi rebels launched their first attack on Israel since the war began — a barrage of ballistic missiles targeting "sensitive Israeli military sit...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-27 · Evening Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — ARAK HEAVY WATER REACTOR STRUCK: IDF bombed Iran's Arak heavy water reactor (plutonium-capable) after issuing evacuation warning to civilians. Also struck Khondab heavy water fac...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-27 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — TRUMP EXTENDS ENERGY STRIKE PAUSE TO APRIL 6: Trump extended the pause on attacking Iran's energy facilities by 10 days, to Monday April 6 at 8 PM Eastern. Claims "talks are ongo...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-26 · Evening Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — IDF CONFIRMS DESTRUCTION OF ENTIRE IRGC NAVY LEADERSHIP: Not just Tangsiri — IDF confirmed killing Behnam Rezaei (IRGC Navy Intelligence Director) and "rest of the Navy leadershi...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-26 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — IRAN REJECTS ALL DIRECT TALKS, FORMALIZES HORMUZ AS TOLL ROAD: FM Araghchi: "No negotiations have happened with the enemy until now, and we do not plan on any negotiations." Iran...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-25 · Afternoon Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — US SENDS 15-POINT CEASEFIRE PLAN TO IRAN VIA PAKISTAN: Comprehensive proposal covering nuclear dismantlement, uranium enrichment halt, missile limits, Hormuz access, sanctions re...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-24 · Afternoon Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — IRAN MISSILE HITS CENTRAL TEL AVIV: Iranian ballistic missile struck a Tel Aviv street Tuesday morning, injuring 4 people and causing massive property damage. 100 kg warhead left...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-24 · Morning Cycle
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — IRAN CALLS TRUMP PEACE TALKS "FAKE NEWS": Iran's parliament speaker Ghalibaf and Foreign Ministry reject all claims of US-Iran negotiations. Tehran: Trump using "talks" narrative...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-23 · Afternoon Cycle
> 🔴🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — TRUMP POSTPONES STRIKES FOR FIVE DAYS: Trump announced Monday morning that strikes on Iranian power plants/energy infrastructure postponed five days citing "VERY GOOD AND PRODU...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-23 · Cycle 7
> 🔴🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — TRUMP 48-HOUR ULTIMATUM: REOPEN HORMUZ OR POWER PLANTS "OBLITERATED": Trump posted Saturday demanding Iran "FULLY OPEN" Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or US will "hit and obl...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-22 · Cycle 7
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — TRUMP 48-HOUR ULTIMATUM: OBLITERATE IRAN'S POWER PLANTS UNLESS HORMUZ FULLY OPENED. Trump posted on Truth Social at 7:44 PM ET Saturday March 21 demanding Iran fully reopen the S...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-21 · Cycle 7 (Evening)
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — 22-NATION JOINT STATEMENT CONDEMNS IRAN'S HORMUZ CLOSURE: UAE, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Canada, Australia, Bahrain, and 12 others issued joint statement co...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-21 · Cycle 6
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — BESSENT SANCTIONS WAIVER EXECUTED: Treasury issued 30-day waiver (through April 19) freeing 140M barrels of Iranian crude at sea for global market sale. First deliberate deployme...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-20 · Cycle 6 (Evening)
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — IRGC SPOKESPERSON BRIG GEN ALI MOHAMMAD NAINI KILLED: Israel eliminated IRGC's chief spokesman in dawn strikes on March 20. 7th senior Iranian official killed since war began. Na...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-20 · Cycle 5
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — KUWAIT REFINERIES STRUCK AGAIN (DAY 2): Iran hit Mina Al-Ahmadi (346K bpd) and Mina Abdullah (454K bpd) with drones AGAIN on March 20 — second consecutive day of strikes on Kuwai...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-19 · Cycle 5 (Evening)
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — RAS LAFFAN DAMAGE: 17% OF QATAR LNG CAPACITY WIPED OUT FOR 3-5 YEARS: QatarEnergy CEO confirmed two of 14 LNG trains + one GTL facility damaged. 12.8 MTPA sidelined. $20B annual ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-19 · Cycle 4
> 🔴 CRITICAL ALERT — ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE WAR ERUPTS: Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field (world's largest). Iran retaliated by striking Qatar's Ras Laffan (significant damage, fires), Kuwait'...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-19 · Morning Cycle
> ⚠ CRITICAL ALERT — ENERGY WAR ERUPTS: IRAN STRIKES RAS LAFFAN (QATAR), SAMREF (SAUDI), ALL GCC TARGETED: Iran launched unprecedented retaliatory strikes across ALL Gulf Cooperation Council countries...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-18 · Evening Cycle
> ⚠⚠ CRITICAL ALERT — SOUTH PARS GAS FIELD STRUCK BY ISRAEL: Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field — the world's LARGEST natural gas reserve, shared with Qatar — and the Asaluyeh processing hub in...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-18 · Morning Cycle
> ⚠ CRITICAL ALERT — IRAN CONFIRMS LARIJANI + SOLEIMANI KILLED: Iran's Supreme National Security Council officially confirmed the deaths of Secretary Ali Larijani (killed alongside his son Morteza, of...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-17 · Evening Cycle
> ⚠ CRITICAL ALERT — FUJAIRAH OIL LOADINGS HALTED: Third drone attack in four days on Fujairah. ADNOC oil loadings halted at Fujairah port — typically exports 1+ mb/d Murban crude. Shah gas field (20%...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-17 · Morning Cycle
> ⚠ CRITICAL ALERT — ALLIES REFUSE ESCORT COALITION: Japan, Australia, UK, Germany, France, and China all declined Trump's call for naval escort participation on March 16-17. Coalition formation colla...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-16 · Afternoon Cycle
Trump claims Iran's military is "decimated" and "it could take 10 years for Tehran to rebuild." Asked if he's ready to declare victory: "I'm still not declaring it over." This signals continued milita...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-16 · Morning Cycle
Iranian drone hit fuel tank near Dubai International Airport on Monday morning, sparking a major fire. Dubai Civil Aviation Authority suspended all flights. Emirates later announced limited service re...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-15 · Evening Cycle
Pentagon briefing: Hegseth confirmed over 15,000 enemy targets struck in Operation Epic Fury — more than 1,000 per day since war began. This is a massive upward revision from the 6,000+ figure cited i...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-15 · Afternoon Cycle
Trump administration has formally rebuffed Oman-mediated ceasefire talks that would have involved VP Vance. White House confirmed focus on "pressing ahead with war to further weaken Tehran's military ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-15 · Morning Cycle
On March 14, US forces executed "Operation Gulf Thunder," striking 90 military targets on Kharg Island — through which 90% of Iran's oil exports flow. Trump stated oil infrastructure was deliberately ...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-14 · Morning Cycle
US forces carried out "large-scale" strikes on Kharg Island, destroying 90 military targets including naval mine storage, missile bunkers, the Joshan naval base, and airport infrastructure. Trump: "to...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-13 · Evening Cycle
The US military has confirmed all six crew members aboard the KC-135 refueling tanker that crashed in western Iraq on March 13 are dead. The toll is upgraded from 4 confirmed in Cycle 10 to 6 confirme...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-13 · Afternoon Cycle
A US Air Force KC-135 refueling tanker crashed in western Iraq at approximately 2:00 PM ET on March 13. Four of six crew members confirmed dead; rescue operations underway for two others. Pentagon say...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-13 · Morning Cycle
Day 14 of US-Israel war on Iran (Operation Epic Fury). No ceasefire. Conflict continues at maximum intensity with new escalation vectors.
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-12 · Late Night Cycle
Day 13 of US-Israel war on Iran (Operation Epic Fury). No ceasefire. Conflict continues at maximum intensity.
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-12 · Night Cycle
Day 13 of US-Israel war on Iran (Operation Epic Fury). No ceasefire. Conflict continues at maximum intensity. IRGC says Iran prepared to wage war for at least six months. Trump said Iran was seeking n...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-12 · Evening Cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-12 · Morning Cycle
Day 13 of US-Israel war on Iran (Operation Epic Fury). No ceasefire. Iran launched what IRGC called its "most intense and heaviest operation" since the war began — sustained 5-hour joint operation wit...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-11 · Late Evening Cycle
Day 12 of US-Israel war on Iran (Operation Epic Fury). No ceasefire. Iran FM Araghchi publicly rejects ceasefire: "We need to continue fighting for the sake of our people." Tehran says nearly 10,000 c...
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-11 · 21:00 cycle
Hormuz Crisis Tracker — 2026-03-11 · 15:00 cycle
Day 11 of US-Israel war on Iran. No ceasefire. Mojtaba Khamenei named new supreme leader (March 8) after assassination of Ali Khamenei (February 28). Iran's parliament speaker: "Certainly we aren't se...
Agent Commerce Convergence Tracker — 2026-03-13
- UPGRADED Visa Intelligent Commerce: Santander/Visa LatAm pilot completed in 5 markets (March 12). US closed beta executing live end-to-end purchases.